The state polls of the swing states show Obama winning enough swing states to win the electoral college. In fact, he could lose a few where he is a few points ahead and still get over 270.
Yesterday NBC News/Marist had a poll in Iowa showing Obama up 51-43.
Today PPP (considered reliable) has a poll with Romney up 49-48.
Wow. I'd be happy to take the average of these two polls and say Obama is up 49-46.
In 2004 I scored 48 out 50 states right. The two states I missed were Ohio and Iowa. Iowa. My state and I got it wrong. Bush won Iowa that year by .6% and Ohio by 1.1%.
Bottom line: If Gallup is right and Romney is leading 6-7% in the nation the electoral college won't matter, Romney is president. If it is more like a 2% race either way than each state counts and all eyes have to be on Ohio. As much as I love Iowa, I just can't see a path to victory for Romney that doesn't include Ohio.
Hey - are you voting this time? Did you get your ballot? - Denise
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